Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov has reportedly ordered an end to the autumn offensive campaign in Donbas and instructed Russian forces to shift to defensive positions. The decision was allegedly driven by serious fuel supply problems.
The claim was made by Ukrainian military analyst Mykhailo Rohoza.
According to Rohoza, a significant portion of the fuel reserves originally allocated for Russia’s offensive operations has been redirected to Moscow. The move reportedly follows fuel shortages caused by Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries.
However, the analyst believes Russian forces will not completely suspend combat operations. Limited assaults are expected to continue, allowing Russian military commanders to report further territorial gains.
Rohoza argues that Russia’s current logistical capabilities are insufficient to capture the Ukrainian cities of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.
In his assessment, the Kremlin’s plans to seize the entire Donbas region by the end of 2026 have effectively failed. He also believes achieving that objective in 2027 would be extremely difficult.
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